Tuesday, July 14, 2009

When Taleb Speaks One Listens

My regular readers know that I a a big fan of Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the author of Black Swan.

In a very short and sweet article, published in the Financial Times, he says,

The core of the problem, the unavoidable truth, is that our economic system is laden with debt, about triple the amount relative to gross domestic product that we had in the 1980s. This does not sit well with globalisation. Our view is that government policies worldwide are causing more instability rather than curing the trouble in the system. The only solution is the immediate, forcible and systematic conversion of debt to equity. There is no other option.

Their conclusion "Invoking the pre-internet Great Depression as guidance for current events is irresponsible: errors in fiscal policy will be magnified by this kind of thinking" makes sense.

To read the trenchant analysis, click here.

You may have to register to read the whole article (it is free). The article is worth the small trouble.

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